Lusitano FCV vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 5
LUS
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 2
ADN
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 0
GOU
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PAM
1 - 3
LUS
48%
23%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 2
LUS
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RDA
2 - 2
MOR
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
RDA
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 3
RDA
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
RDA
1 - 3
ANA
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PAM
0 - 3
RDA
56%
21%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |