Lusitano FCV vs Pedras Rubras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
GAF
2 - 1
LUS
15%
24%
61%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
LUS
3 - 2
COI
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CES
0 - 4
LUS
15%
24%
61%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 0
PEN
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Pedras Rubras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PED
1 - 0
SPO
90%
8%
3%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
RDA
0 - 0
PED
55%
25%
21%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PED
1 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AMA
7 - 1
PED
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PED
0 - 0
UNM
18%
23%
60%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |