Lusitano FCV vs Pampilhosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 2
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 1
LUS
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
5 - 0
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
LUS
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 2
RDA
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Pampilhosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 2
PAM
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PAM
1 - 4
MOR
31%
25%
45%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 0
PAM
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PAM
1 - 3
GAF
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 0
PAM
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |