Lusitano FCV vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 1
LUS
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
5 - 0
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
LUS
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 2
RDA
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 5
LUS
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PAM
1 - 4
MOR
31%
25%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 1
GAF
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 3
MOR
29%
22%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
ANA
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
RDA
2 - 2
MOR
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |