Lusitano FCV vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
LUS
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 3
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OFR
0 - 1
LUS
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 3
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
LUS
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
OLI
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 0
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +3 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
MOR
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
GAF
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 1
ANA
21%
21%
59%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |