Lusitano FCV vs Mirandela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GOU
1 - 1
LUS
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
LUS
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 2
EST
60%
22%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
LUS
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 2
FAF
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OSL
0 - 1
MIR
26%
28%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 1
VIA
60%
23%
17%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
PED
0 - 1
MIR
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MIR
2 - 0
VIE
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |