Lusitano FCV vs Marítimo III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
LUS
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
3 - 2
EST
60%
22%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
LUS
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
SAO
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CES
0 - 0
LUS
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
GAF
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
GOU
3 - 1
MAR
27%
25%
49%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAM
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |