Lusitano FCV vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 1
RDA
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
LUS
74%
17%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
1 - 3
LUS
14%
19%
67%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 2
VAL
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ANA
1 - 0
LUS
69%
21%
11%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
RDA
1 - 1
LUS
23%
27%
51%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
CAN
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
LUS
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 1
ANA
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |