Lusitano FCV vs Leça FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 2
LUS
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LUS
4 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 2
ACV
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 1
LUS
31%
27%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LUS
3 - 0
PED
63%
21%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Leça FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 0
ESP
15%
23%
61%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 3
LEC
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
LEC
4 - 0
GAN
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
LEC
4 - 1
FCF
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
LEC
0 - 2
GFC
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |