Lusitano FCV vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUS
4 - 1
GOU
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
1 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
LUS
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 0
ANA
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 1
LUS
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GAF
0 - 1
CAM
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 2
GAF
36%
23%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 2
MAR
38%
25%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
GAF
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAF
1 - 2
EST
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |