Lusitano FCV vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VAR
0 - 0
LUS
69%
20%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 1
SAL
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 0
LUS
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CES
1 - 0
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 2
SOU
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FAF
3 - 2
SAL
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
FAF
31%
29%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FAF
0 - 0
FAM
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAF
2 - 1
VAR
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
FAF
33%
28%
40%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |