Lusitano FCV vs Estarreja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
LUS
33%
27%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
SAO
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CES
0 - 0
LUS
44%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 1
LUS
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
LUS
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estarreja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
GAF
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GOU
1 - 1
EST
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
CAM
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |