Lusitano FCV vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
LUS
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LUS
0 - 4
BMA
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUS
0 - 0
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 1
LUS
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LUS
0 - 2
CAN
23%
25%
52%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 3
LUS
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
BEL
3 - 0
ESP
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 0
ESP
18%
25%
58%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
BMA
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 1
GON
66%
21%
14%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |