Lusitano FCV vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CIN
0 - 0
LUS
23%
26%
50%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 1
AMA
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
LUS
26%
27%
47%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LUS
5 - 0
SPO
92%
7%
2%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
GON
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 1
AMA
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
ESP
7%
15%
77%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
PED
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GON
2 - 0
ESP
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
UNM
26%
25%
49%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |