Lusitano FCV vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BMA
2 - 1
LUS
78%
14%
7%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LUS
4 - 2
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
LUS
70%
19%
12%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
LUS
20%
24%
57%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 1
RDA
35%
26%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 2
CAS
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
LUS
26%
27%
48%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
ANA
1 - 2
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
CAS
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
CAS
9%
17%
74%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | +1 |