Lusitano FCV vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LEC
1 - 1
LUS
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LUS
0 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
LUS
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GIN
0 - 4
LUS
9%
16%
76%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
LUS
0 - 2
PED
60%
21%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GIN
0 - 6
CAS
8%
15%
77%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 2
VIL
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LEC
0 - 1
CAS
59%
21%
21%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
19%
24%
58%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |