Lusitano FCV vs Bustelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
LUS
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 0
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 3
LUS
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
CES
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 0
LUS
37%
26%
38%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bustelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BUS
2 - 1
OLI
51%
22%
27%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
BUS
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GAF
2 - 1
BUS
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BUS
1 - 3
SAN
15%
20%
66%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 0
BUS
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |