Lusitano FCV vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
LUS
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 2
LUS
41%
28%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LUS
1 - 0
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
TON
0 - 1
LUS
85%
11%
3%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SER
1 - 1
LUS
49%
26%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
ADM
1 - 2
GAF
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
ADM
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ADM
1 - 0
SER
25%
25%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 0
ADM
67%
18%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ADM
2 - 1
ANA
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |