Lusitano FCV vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GOU
0 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
PAM
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 2
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 1
LUS
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
5 - 0
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
PED
1 - 2
ADO
16%
23%
61%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ADO
3 - 0
TOR
72%
18%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MON
4 - 4
ADO
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 4
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 0
ADO
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |