Lusitano GC Évora vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
SPB
2 - 1
LGC
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 2
SLB
13%
17%
69%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
LEX
8 - 1
LGC
72%
17%
11%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
LGC
3 - 0
FCB
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
BMA
2 - 0
LGC
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
VST
1 - 1
VAR
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
FCP
0 - 0
VST
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
VST
1 - 2
FAB
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ACA
4 - 1
VST
58%
21%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 1
VST
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |