Lusitano GC Évora vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
23.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
FCP
2 - 0
LGC
82%
11%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 1
SPB
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 1
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
BEL
3 - 0
LGC
79%
13%
8%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
LGC
0 - 0
SLB
24%
22%
54%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
TOR
4 - 4
VST
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
VST
3 - 3
FCP
27%
23%
50%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
VST
2 - 0
SPB
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
FCB
4 - 3
VST
54%
21%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
VST
0 - 5
BEL
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |