Lusitano GC Évora vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
SPC
2 - 0
LGC
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
LGC
0 - 2
ORI
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
SCP
1 - 1
LGC
86%
9%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
LGC
5 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
SLB
2 - 2
LGC
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
VST
1 - 1
ORI
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
ATL
3 - 0
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
VST
1 - 2
BEL
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
CAL
3 - 5
VST
46%
22%
32%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
VST
4 - 1
FAB
70%
16%
14%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |