Lusitano GC Évora vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
26.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
LGC
2 - 1
TOR
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
LGC
1 - 1
FAB
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 0
LGC
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
LGC
0 - 3
FCP
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
ACA
1 - 2
LGC
64%
17%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
CAL
3 - 1
VST
43%
22%
35%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 0
VST
46%
23%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
VST
3 - 5
SLB
21%
21%
58%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1955 |
SPB
4 - 2
VST
54%
21%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1955 |
VST
9 - 2
ATL
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |