Lusitano GC Évora vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
FEI
1 - 2
LGC
50%
23%
26%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
LGC
1 - 2
LEX
50%
23%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 5
LGC
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
LGC
1 - 0
VST
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
FAB
6 - 0
LGC
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
VIT
5 - 0
FCB
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
SCP
4 - 2
VIT
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
VIT
0 - 3
FCP
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
VIT
2 - 1
FEI
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
LEX
1 - 0
VIT
56%
21%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |