Lusitano GC Évora vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1962 |
FAB
3 - 1
LGC
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 0
LGC
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
LGC
0 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
FCP
4 - 0
LGC
84%
10%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
BEL
1 - 0
LGC
71%
17%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1962 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
21%
22%
57%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
ACA
0 - 1
VIT
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
ACA
3 - 0
VIT
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
VIT
3 - 1
SPC
74%
16%
11%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
OLH
1 - 0
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |