Lusitano GC Évora vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
5 - 0
LGC
87%
9%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
FCP
4 - 0
LGC
86%
9%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
LGC
1 - 0
FCB
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
BEL
2 - 0
LGC
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
LGC
0 - 1
SPC
60%
21%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1960 |
VIT
4 - 2
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
85%
10%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
LEX
0 - 2
VIT
53%
22%
26%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
VIT
2 - 1
SAL
73%
15%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1960 |
VIT
2 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |