Lusitano GC Évora vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
2 - 0
LGC
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
LGC
1 - 3
FAB
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
ACA
5 - 0
LGC
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
LGC
1 - 3
BEL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
VST
2 - 0
LGC
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
22%
22%
55%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 2
VAR
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 2
ACA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
BEL
3 - 1
VAR
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |