Lusitano GC Évora vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
FCP
1 - 0
LGC
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SLB
5 - 0
LGC
93%
5%
2%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1964 |
SLB
3 - 1
LGC
92%
6%
2%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 8
SLB
20%
20%
60%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
FCP
1 - 0
LGC
82%
13%
6%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIT
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
SEI
1 - 2
VAR
58%
21%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 1
FAB
50%
21%
29%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FAB
5 - 2
VAR
70%
15%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
SLB
8 - 0
VAR
94%
4%
2%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |