Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 4-7
Lusitano GC Évora vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
LGC
0 - 1
SLB
15%
20%
65%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
ACA
2 - 0
LGC
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
LGC
3 - 0
SPC
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
OLH
0 - 1
LGC
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
LGC
2 - 1
SAL
64%
19%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
76%
14%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
SCP
2 - 1
BMA
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCP
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 0
FAB
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
ATL
0 - 3
SCP
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |