Lusitano GC Évora vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 0
LGC
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
LGC
3 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
VIT
3 - 0
LGC
61%
20%
19%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
LGC
2 - 1
FAB
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
SCP
3 - 1
LGC
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
SPC
5 - 2
VST
48%
22%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
FCP
5 - 2
SPC
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
SPC
0 - 3
SPB
62%
20%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
FCB
6 - 1
SPC
54%
21%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
SPC
2 - 1
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |