Lusitano GC Évora vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ACA
7 - 4
LGC
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
LGC
0 - 3
FAB
66%
19%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 2
LGC
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
LGC
2 - 1
BOA
58%
20%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
FCP
9 - 0
LGC
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
FAB
3 - 0
SPC
58%
20%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SPC
2 - 0
BOA
63%
19%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPC
88%
8%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SPC
2 - 1
VIT
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
VST
4 - 0
SPC
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |