Lusitano GC Évora vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
SLB
1 - 0
LGC
93%
5%
2%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
LGC
0 - 2
LEX
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
FCB
1 - 2
LGC
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
LGC
1 - 1
BMA
47%
23%
30%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SCP
5 - 0
LGC
83%
12%
5%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 2
VAR
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
FCP
4 - 2
SPB
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
4 - 2
FAB
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
ACA
1 - 2
SPB
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |