Lusitano GC Évora vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
SLB
1 - 0
LGC
82%
12%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
LGC
0 - 1
VST
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
SAL
5 - 0
LGC
53%
21%
27%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 1
TOR
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
FAB
2 - 0
LGC
44%
23%
34%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
ORI
1 - 3
ACA
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
FCP
5 - 0
ORI
83%
11%
7%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
ORI
0 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 2
ORI
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1958 |
SPB
5 - 0
ORI
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |