Lusitano GC Évora vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
SCP
1 - 1
LGC
86%
9%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
LGC
5 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
SLB
2 - 2
LGC
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 0
LGC
74%
14%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
ORI
0 - 1
ATL
62%
20%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 1
ORI
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
CAL
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
FAB
60%
20%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
FCP
5 - 0
ORI
89%
7%
4%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |