Lusitano GC Évora vs Moncarapachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LGC
2 - 1
MOU
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
EST
5 - 0
LGC
90%
8%
2%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 1
LGC
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LGC
1 - 0
LOU
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +3 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALJ
0 - 3
LGC
24%
22%
54%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Moncarapachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MON
2 - 2
PIN
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
OLH
1 - 0
MON
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOU
1 - 3
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 3
LOU
15%
20%
65%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
EDL
25%
21%
55%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |