Lusitano GC Évora vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SPB
0 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
LGC
0 - 3
SCP
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
LGC
2 - 1
FAB
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 0
LGC
66%
19%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 0
LGC
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FCP
5 - 0
ATL
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
LEX
3 - 2
FCP
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 2
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FCP
2 - 2
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
61%
20%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |