Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 1-10
Lusitano GC Évora vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
61.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1959 |
MAR
1 - 3
LGC
56%
19%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1959 |
LGC
3 - 1
MAR
50%
20%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
LGC
1 - 1
TOR
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
TOR
1 - 2
LGC
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
FCB
2 - 2
LGC
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1959 |
FCP
7 - 0
FER
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1959 |
FER
0 - 9
FCP
28%
22%
49%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
FCP
6 - 1
VIL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 26 | 62 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
VIL
0 - 1
FCP
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 26 | 62 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
TOR
0 - 3
FCP
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |