Lusitano GC Évora vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
VST
1 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 2
SPC
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
3 - 1
LGC
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
LGC
2 - 1
SCP
20%
22%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ATL
3 - 7
LGC
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SPC
0 - 1
FCP
31%
24%
46%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
49%
21%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCP
69%
17%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
78%
13%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1956 |
ATH
3 - 2
FCP
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |