Lusitano GC Évora vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
BMA
2 - 0
LGC
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
LGC
2 - 5
SCP
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 5
BEL
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -2 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
SPB
2 - 0
LGC
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 2
ACA
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
FCB
3 - 1
VAR
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FCP
0 - 1
FCB
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
FCB
0 - 1
FAB
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 0
FCB
68%
18%
15%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
FCB
1 - 0
SCP
13%
19%
67%
|
50 | 88 | 38 | +2 |