Lusitano GC Évora vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LGC
0 - 1
SAC
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
0 - 1
LGC
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LGC
3 - 1
EDL
61%
19%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALV
4 - 0
LGC
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SFU
0 - 0
LGC
22%
21%
57%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FAB
0 - 2
ALV
17%
23%
60%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
LOU
3 - 1
FAB
74%
17%
10%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FAB
3 - 1
SFU
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EDL
1 - 0
FAB
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ARM
2 - 2
FAB
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |