Lusitano GC Évora vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
ACA
5 - 0
LGC
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
LGC
1 - 3
BEL
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
VST
2 - 0
LGC
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
LGC
6 - 1
SPB
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
SLB
1 - 0
LGC
93%
5%
2%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAB
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 2
VAR
64%
20%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
FCP
3 - 0
FAB
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1966 |
FAB
2 - 2
VIT
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |