Lusitano GC Évora vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
LEX
4 - 0
LGC
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 1
SCP
16%
21%
64%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
TOR
1 - 2
LGC
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
VIT
2 - 0
LGC
81%
12%
6%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
LGC
4 - 1
SEI
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
FAB
3 - 1
VIT
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
SEI
2 - 2
FAB
45%
25%
29%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
FAB
3 - 0
VST
63%
20%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 3
FAB
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
FAB
2 - 0
FCP
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |