Lusitano GC Évora vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
SCP
3 - 0
LGC
83%
10%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
LGC
3 - 2
BEL
36%
24%
40%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
SPB
1 - 0
LGC
47%
22%
31%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
SPC
7 - 2
LGC
51%
21%
28%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
LGC
4 - 0
SPC
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
FAB
2 - 4
ACA
45%
23%
32%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 0
FAB
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1957 |
FAB
3 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
TOR
2 - 0
FAB
60%
18%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
FAB
1 - 2
TOR
59%
19%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |