Lusitano GC Évora vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 0
LGC
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 2
FCP
29%
24%
48%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
VST
1 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 2
SPC
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
3 - 1
LGC
48%
22%
30%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
FCP
4 - 0
FAB
88%
8%
4%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SCP
8 - 0
FAB
92%
5%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
FAB
2 - 3
SLB
11%
16%
74%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ACA
8 - 1
FAB
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -2 |