Lusitano GC Évora vs Esperança de Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALV
4 - 0
LGC
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SFU
0 - 0
LGC
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
LGC
3 - 4
ALJ
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
LGC
3 - 3
ARM
59%
20%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
EDL
1 - 0
FAB
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
EDL
1 - 1
AMO
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 3
EDL
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EDL
2 - 2
ALV
19%
25%
57%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
3 - 2
EDL
56%
20%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |