Lusitano GC Évora vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
VIT
3 - 0
LGC
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
LGC
2 - 1
FAB
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
SCP
3 - 1
LGC
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
TOR
2 - 0
LGC
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
LGC
1 - 3
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
CAL
4 - 1
VST
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
FCP
10 - 0
CAL
84%
10%
6%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
CAL
2 - 2
SPB
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
FCB
3 - 2
CAL
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
CAL
1 - 6
BEL
20%
22%
59%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | -1 |