Lusitano GC Évora vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 2
LGC
51%
22%
27%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 1
ORI
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
SLB
1 - 0
LGC
82%
12%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
LGC
0 - 1
VST
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
SAL
5 - 0
LGC
53%
21%
27%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
CAL
2 - 1
ACA
32%
22%
46%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAL
92%
6%
2%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1958 |
SPB
1 - 0
CAL
72%
16%
12%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1958 |
CAL
1 - 0
FCB
52%
22%
26%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1958 |
ORI
0 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |