Lusitano GC Évora vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 3
LGC
46%
22%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 1
FAB
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
FCB
1 - 0
LGC
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 2
FCP
29%
24%
48%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
VST
1 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 0
CAL
67%
18%
15%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
CAL
1 - 1
FCP
11%
18%
72%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
SPC
0 - 0
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
CAL
1 - 7
SCP
10%
17%
73%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SLB
1 - 0
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |