Lusitano GC Évora vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
OLH
1 - 0
LGC
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
LGC
3 - 3
ACA
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
BEL
1 - 0
LGC
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
LGC
0 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
LGC
0 - 0
FCB
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1963 |
SLB
3 - 1
FEY
74%
14%
12%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
SLB
8 - 1
FCB
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
54%
21%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1963 |
FEY
0 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
SLB
6 - 2
VIT
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |