Lusitano GC Évora vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
58.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 0
FCP
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
FCP
4 - 1
LGC
81%
12%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
SCP
2 - 2
LGC
89%
7%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
LGC
4 - 1
SPB
61%
18%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SPB
0 - 4
LGC
43%
22%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1953 |
SLB
5 - 0
FCP
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
26%
21%
53%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1953 |
SLB
3 - 1
VIT
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1953 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCB
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
FCB
0 - 1
SLB
30%
21%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |